Where next for UK business? Early gains follow election results
By all accounts, research into voting intentions suggested that yesterday’s UK general election would be one of the closest on record and certainly not one that could result in a majority for any single party.
It now seems that these predictions were grossly inaccurate and that the Conservative Party under David Cameron will continue to govern the world’s fifth largest economy and second-favorite MBA destination - this time without the need for a coalition with another party (at least for the time being – the expected majority appears slim at the time of writing).
In the economic heart of London, UK business and City traders responded positively to the news as soon as voting came to an end last night and an ‘exit poll’ heralded this morning’s results.
Most notably, the UK’s pound sterling registered its biggest jump against the US dollar in more than five years, as an analyst quoted in a Guardian report explained:
“The pound had a difficult day yesterday, without losing too much ground but surged on last night’s early exit poll.” In addition, the FTSE 100 rose an initial 150 points before later falling back to a rise of over 100. The FTSE 250, meanwhile, reached an all-time high.
Avoiding a highly anticipated stalemate, which would have led to lengthy negotiations over potential government coalitions and another election towards the end of the year a distinct possibility, is something that offers greater short-term stability for UK business – regardless of individuals’ political preferences.
Yet, the main opposition – Labour – had promised to enact policies that would have made life more difficult for a number of UK business sectors, including banks and energy companies. Such companies have already enjoyed gains in shares – Lloyds Banking Group (state-owned) and British Gas (under Centrica) were up 5% and 7% respectively.
However, the sense of relief felt by many will undoubtedly give way to debates over the UK’s future in Europe (with a potential in-out referendum on the EU in the offing under a Conservative government) and of Scotland’s place in the UK (after the huge gains made by the Scottish National Party) – both of which will have huge implications for UK business and any who hold interests there.
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