Is a Picasso flood about to disrupt the art market?
A painting by Pablo Picasso has just set a new world record for its price at auction - Women of Algiers (Version O) exceeded expectations in fetching US$179 million at Christie’s in New York.
However, just last week, Harvard Business School (HBS) professor, Mukti Khaire drew on her own research into market and value construction in the creative industries to reflect on the potential disruption that the works of Picasso could yet cause the art market in the months ahead.
Having inherited roughly 10,000 Picasso pieces from her grandfather’s estate, Marina Picasso announced in February that she planned to sell the majority – many of which are lesser-known or early works – in one fell swoop, bypassing auction houses and art dealers in the process.
Without official intermediaries, values accrued in Marina Picasso’s sale are likely to be much harder to predict and driven more on individuals’ emotion. However, it is also the scale of her endeavor that is worrying those in the art market:
“One of the things people try to do in the art market is never to flood it at the same time with a single artist's work,” says Khaire in an article for Harvard Business School’s Working Knowledge. The HBS professor then explains that while well-known Picasso works, such as the Women of Algiers piece – part of series inspired by Eugène Delacroix – it is lesser-known works that could be hit by fluctuating values brought on by the pressures of supply and demand. “If I own a notable Picasso work, I can be reasonably sure it won't lose value. But if I am the owner of a lesser-known Picasso, I might be worried in this case,” Khaire reasons.
In this sense, the art market doesn’t quite align to the usual principles associated with the business world:
"From a business school point of view, there's a contradiction where the art market seems illogical or strange because it turns on its head some of the rules of competition. In many cases, investors are happy when supply goes up because price goes down and they can purchase more. But in the case of Picasso, and a few others, there's a slight subversion of that principle,” the HBS professor surmises.
Incidentally, ARTnews reported that a lesser-known Picasso, Petit carré au visage, has already sold – via Christie’s last year – for as little as US$1,558.
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